Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 3.282713 3.535873 3.809848 4.130309 4.497374 4.907775 5.405758
2026-01-25 3.200110 3.603616 4.074723 4.675221 5.435466 6.388522 7.713546
2026-02-01 2.828238 3.254040 3.770200 4.458178 5.378432 6.612221 8.482851
2026-02-08 2.543319 2.968600 3.497423 4.224574 5.236584 6.663663 8.981737
2026-02-15 2.386215 2.823753 3.381360 4.172048 5.317747 7.021657 10.009421
2026-02-22 2.238769 2.677131 3.246447 4.073453 5.311270 7.235552 10.843454
2026-03-01 2.092624 2.521167 3.085360 3.919518 5.198609 7.255731 11.324922
2026-03-08 1.952698 2.364945 2.912910 3.733311 5.013467 7.124456 11.474033
2026-03-15 1.886239 2.303316 2.866148 3.725870 5.105918 7.478099 12.722113
2026-03-22 1.822150 2.240932 2.813552 3.703828 5.169762 7.788075 13.984675
2026-03-29 1.761587 2.180043 2.758913 3.673265 5.214133 8.066616 15.283223
2026-04-05 1.748454 2.184182 2.797630 3.790376 5.525046 8.927328 18.580484
2026-04-12 1.717934 2.167856 2.813494 3.886731 5.840808 9.945317 23.461108
2026-04-19 1.780494 2.290143 3.048714 4.378068 7.012088 13.451902 45.011539
2026-04-26 1.681759 2.168697 2.897060 4.182836 6.761507 13.212995 47.164909
2026-05-03 1.587165 2.049536 2.743000 3.972014 6.453129 12.739873 47.203461
2026-05-10 1.534545 1.991133 2.682340 3.924510 6.491568 13.302672 57.060503
2026-05-17 1.477221 1.923106 2.602469 3.835242 6.425332 13.531055 65.373560
2026-05-24 1.413444 1.842911 2.499229 3.695600 6.228910 13.291322 68.298619
2026-05-31 1.347239 1.756997 2.383477 3.526240 5.948895 12.719336 65.993894
2026-06-07 1.317379 1.725704 2.355447 3.519462 6.044633 13.451954 86.032538
2026-06-14 1.286761 1.692050 2.321821 3.499380 6.106445 14.099635 113.110727
2026-06-21 1.256456 1.657783 2.285559 3.471523 6.145959 14.690220 151.839514